When it comes to the debate about ten man rugby I believe it is one of those times when the debate is pointless as
there is only one way to play rugby: have more points on the board at the end of the match. Now to deliberately contradict myself
there is not one way to play rugby, the game varies according to the team you have available, the opposition, the conditions, the current scoreline. What this contradiction means is that at every moment every member of the team has to decide what the best option is. A great example is the now famous sequence leading up to Johhny's winning kick; Johnny was ready to take the pass, Dawson spots a gap and goes, Back was quick to the breakdown ready to put in the pass to Johnny, Johnsons see the weakness and calls for the ball takes it in recycles and Dawson gets to his feet and gives Johnny the pass, absolute poetry. The pass could have gone out straight away, and Johnny may have scored, but the players were able to assess the percentages and improve their chances, an example of “heads up” ten man rugby.
One of the keys to making good decisions is quick ball, it allows the attacking team more time than the defencive team. This requires players to get to the breakdown and clear the opposition and for someone to get the ball away quickly. However there is an even faster way that I prefer; the offload. If a team offloads well, the defence can never settle, it never gets a chance to slow the ball. An offloading attacking does require a high skill level, both passing and catching as well as running close support lines, but then winning a world cup will require the highest standards.
Defence, ironically I actually liked what Mike Ford was doing with England in Australia. He mixed it up brilliantly; drift and blitz, the Australian back line was really unsettled as it did not know what was next. England appeared to have a hybrid formation where they let one player rush up and disrupt and the others formed a conventional drift behind, I liked that, I will keep an eye out for it again. I also liked the way he varied the line so that you did not know who was standing where, so if they identified a weak channel in our defence then a set move might fail as the weak link had moved to a different position. As it was the Australian back line played great “heads up” rugby and still picked off the gaps, but I think given a bit of time our defence will be a real asset.
I believe we have strength and depth in our front five, we are good enough to compete in the set pieces with any team in the world. Our front five also has the ability to get around the pitch in defence and attack, a great asset to team. What is required is for the front five to play the same game as the rest of the team, we need them supporting and offloading in attack, or if necessary clearing the rucks or quick pick and drives, basically they need to be smart.
The back rows are facing three southern hemisphere teams with huge mobile backrows who have great ball skills in attack. I don't believe we currently have the backrow players to compete directly with the all three options of size, speed and skill. Our current players can compete for size or speed and skill, not both. Given the size and mobility of our front five and, to play a rounded game, the importance of speed and skill I go for that over sheer size. Ultimately the players I pick are actually pretty tough, and so on balance I think will will compete.
The half backs have got to have a full complement of skills, not weak spots, but my priority is quick service from the scum half and good decisions from both. I prefer a second five-eighth at inside and a more conventional running outside centre. For the back three I prefer three players who are comfortable at full back as well as being good finishers in the traditional winger role. I also prefer to have winger in the mold of Austin Healey who can play “third-five-eighth” a role I believe is crucial in later phases.
Finally given the short time before the World Cup I would try and play the same team in every game. Some of the decisions are optimistic but a good coach must be able to see potential and know how to unlock it, but must also know when a mistake has been made.
I have a primary squad of 30; I carry 4 props, 3 hookers, 3.5 second rows, 5.5 backrows, 3 scrum halves, 2.5 flyhalves, 3.5 centres, 5 back three.
I also have a larger squad of 60, which adds a third fifteen of old pros who can step in and do a job, some of them may on form be first choice. Then I have a team of youngish players who have great talent and may develop quickly this season, but have not quite done enough last season to be included. I would never rule anyone out completely as injuries and form will dictate a lot.
PropsSheridan, Stevens, Vickery, Freshwater
In reserve:Rowntree, White
Incubation:Barnard, Forster
HookersThompson, Chuter, Paice
In reserve:Mears
Incubation:Buckland
Second RowGrewcock, Jones, Kay, Borthwick
In reserve:Palmer, Brown
Incubation:Kennedy, Hudson
Back rowLund, Moody, Rees, Sanderson
In Reserve:Dallglio, Lipman, Worsley
Incubation:Seymour, Deacon, Forrester, Crane
Scrum HalfHodgson, Perry, Ellis
In reserve:Walshe, Richards
Incubation:Care, Foden
Fly HalfWilkinson, Hodgson, Flood
In reserve:Barkley, Goode
Incubation:Lamb
CentresAbbott, Tait, Smith
In reserve:Bell, Noon, Johnston
Incubation:Allen, Vesty, Erinle
This selection deserves a comment; although I have Barkley has cover for fly half he is also and inside centre. I really believe Flood will come through and play in the way Catt has done so well in the past. Erinle has so many attributes that I still can't ignore him , and it may be he develops on the wing. I really can't pick Tindall, the guy just clogs up the midfield in attack and ruins the back three's chances. Although he is a great defender I just don't pick a team on that basis, I believe you pick talent and coach defence. Vesty is a lovely, skillful, smart footballer, and I am hoping Tigers start playing him as a second-five-eighths. If Smith finds top form I might consider moving Tait to the wing ahead of some others, but I expect Tait to be the best outside centre.
Back threeSimpson-Daniel, Varndell, Lewsey, Cueto, Balshaw
In reserve:Cohen, Voyce
Incubation:Doherty, Monye, Armitage
There are some interesting options here, if Varndell and Balshaw fail to make the grade or Simpson-Daniel is never fit, then we have an experienced player like Cohen, who despite his detractors still provides a strong runner with a good finish, and vitally good in the air against Tuquiri and Rockoko. If Balshaw fails we are left with few options at full back so I might be tempted to reinstate Van Gisbergen or possibly Perry,. However, I would like to see continued improvement from Armitage, especially now opponents know him, but the real excitement for me would be if Doherty is able to take the Wasps full back spot on a regular basis. Finally Monye, who I think will be a solid performer in the mold of Cohen but a little sharper.